17 Aug · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Danylo Kasian
ELO 1511
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kasian
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1434
FormLWLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kasian
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)