17 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1577
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Syksa
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1504
FormWWLLW
58%
42%
🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 68% (131)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H56-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-24)