17 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1465
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Leonenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1462
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (83)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.