17 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1476
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bilobrov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1493
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Hryhorenko stays under total as underdog 63% (67)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.