17 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1684
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H80-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-26)