17 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1485
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Salivonchyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1508
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Treschetka🌟Treschetka covers set handicap as underdog 64% (80)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H63-59
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.