18 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1357
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Shcherbak
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1379
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.