18 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1357
FormLLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1580
FormLWWLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+223
H2H62-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-33)