18 Aug · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1782
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1632
FormWWWLL
65%
35%
🌟Pesternikov stays under total as favourite 63% (179)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+150
H2H80-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-51)