18 Aug · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1442
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 63% (124)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.