18 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Honcharenko
ELO 1477
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1554
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Honcharenko
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H20-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)