18 Aug · 07:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1213
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pyrtyk
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1372
FormLLWLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H17-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-3)