18 Aug · 06:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1357
FormLLWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1531
FormWLLWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+174
H2H40-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-26)