18 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Miroslav Hajek
ELO 1521
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kolman
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1602
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Hajek stays under total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Kolman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)