18 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1364
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Melnichuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1344
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.