18 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1500
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovalenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1501
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Kovalenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (85)
Fair odds · Kovalenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.