18 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1580
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H56-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.