18 Aug · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1589
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Derevianko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1544
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Derevianko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H45-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)