18 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KJ
🇺🇦Karel Jirousek
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hasman
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Jirousek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (68)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.