19 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1440
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kheresko
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1455
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.