19 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇺🇦Andriy Didyk
ELO 1458
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kryvoshyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1519
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 69% (39)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H49-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-32)