19 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1519
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kryvoshyi
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1440
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 69% (39)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H40-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-9)