19 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1521
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vasylets
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1508
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Vasylets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (28)
Fair odds · Vasylets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H22-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.