19 Aug · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1494
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Ziakun
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1362
FormLLLLW
64%
36%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 63% (49)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H43-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-20)