19 Aug · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1350
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sorochan
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1518
FormLLLWW
33%
67%
🌟Matviichuk stays under total as underdog 73% (64)
Fair odds · Sorochan
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H38-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-8)