19 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Miklukha
ELO 1379
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stukalov
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1400
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (79)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H29-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.