19 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Parahailo
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moshovskyi
ELO 1558
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Parahailo stays under total as favourite 64% (116)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H11-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.