19 Aug · 06:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1582
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Parahailo
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1567
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Maltsev covers set handicap as underdog 65% (129)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H11-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.