19 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1519
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kovarik
MK
🇺🇦Matej Kovarik
ELO 1522
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Rulc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (90)
Fair odds · Kovarik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.