19 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1400
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1391
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (79)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.