19 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1656
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lievshin
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1639
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Yurkov🌟Yurkov covers set handicap as underdog 80% (60)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.