19 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1480
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vorel
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1480
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorel🌟Vorel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (104)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H18-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.