19 Aug · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VC
🇺🇦Vladimir Chornobab
ELO 1652
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chornobab
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Chornobab stays under total as favourite 65% (26)
Fair odds · Chornobab
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H19-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-4)