19 Aug · 09:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YL
🇺🇦Yurii Leymanovsky
ELO 1592
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Leymanovsky
AH
🇺🇦Andrii Hrabskyi
ELO 1583
FormLLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrabskyi🌟Hrabskyi covers set handicap as underdog 63% (139)
Fair odds · Leymanovsky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.