19 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LT
🇺🇦Ladislav Tuma
ELO 1480
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tuma
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1445
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Tuma rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (50)
Fair odds · Tuma
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.