19 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1512
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volynets
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1525
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Volynets rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (80)
Fair odds · Volynets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.