20 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1647
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dobias
MS
🇺🇦Michal Stibor
ELO 1571
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (201)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)