20 Aug · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇺🇦Antonin Skyba
ELO 1344
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Snizek
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
32%
68%
🌟Skyba stays under total as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~70 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+173
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)