20 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1623
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1708
FormWLLLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H93-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (93-24)