20 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1451
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kurtenko
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1526
FormLLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)