20 Aug · 09:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1498
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1647
FormWWLLL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (201)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+149
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)