20 Aug · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1370
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Snizek
MS
🇺🇦Michal Snizek
ELO 1517
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
🌟Sabuka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 34% (35)
Fair odds · Snizek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+147
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)