20 Aug · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lyman
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1576
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+220
H2H17-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+220)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-3)