20 Aug · 07:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1451
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1494
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 65% (95)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)