20 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1770
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Balabei
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1708
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H93-157
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)