20 Aug · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1491
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Treschetka
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Sapuzhak
ELO 1429
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)