20 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1491
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Treschetka
MD
🇺🇦Mykhailo Dunas
ELO 1470
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Dunas stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.