20 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1567
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1647
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H57-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-28)