20 Aug · 08:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇺🇦Oleh Volynets
ELO 1528
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Volynets
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1490
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Melnykov stays under total as underdog 65% (101)
Fair odds · Volynets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.