20 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1491
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Treschetka
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1456
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H19-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.